How roust is developed: flag-gated hypotheses, a two-set gate, and a public ledger of what failed.
1. mine find the failure in existing artifacts before writing code 2. implement behind a flag, defaults byte-identical to main (proven, md5) 3. gate tuning set AND held-out set, same protocol, paired statistics 4. decide adopt as default, or write the null up with its anatomy 5. record artifacts committed, ledger comment on the campaign issue
Step 1 is load-bearing. Two rounds were killed by mining alone, for the price of a script: issue-mention gating (1 of 499 gold files was actually named by filename in its issue) and the general displacement guard (culprit fires were shape-identical to the fires behind the adopted wins).
Adoption requires a win on SWE-bench Lite and on the 407 held-out Verified instances, which no tuning decision is ever made on. This has caught two mechanisms that looked good on the tuning set and were negative held-out — query-type routing and one sibling-expansion variant. Both would have shipped under single-set evaluation.
neighbor score smoothing FILE +1 is churn (p=1.0); hub guard taxes gold chunk-max file scoring FILE +0.3, FUNCTION -2.7 (budget shrinkage) chunk ranking, decoupled tax halved; residual from list composition query-type routing Lite +1.7 LINE, Verified -2.2 FUNCTION static test bridge no bridged file was ever a missing gold file sibling-sweep expansion FUNCTION 53.3 -> 27.7 (depth charged too early) universal indexing FILE 46.4 -> 31.2 (boilerplate displaces code) newcomer reserve budget buys template admissions at region cost issue-mention gating 1 of 499 gold files named in its issue
Three of these share one cause, which is the most useful thing the campaign found: in this corpus, gold files are disproportionately large and central. Any mechanism that redistributes weight away from large central files taxes the files it was built to rescue — whether it does so through graph-hub exclusion, score damping, or selection-list composition. The interventions that worked instead changed the budget economy directly, or added evidence-gated boosts that fire rarely on strong signals.
lab/research/ — one report per round, with its gate tables and anatomy.lab/results_regions/ — per-instance evaluation records and scored metrics.lab/stats/ — paired bootstrap and McNemar outputs.Line-level mean fraction is .527 against a measured lexical ceiling of .93 for this corpus. The residual is dominated by patches that touch many sibling functions, where no single-site mechanism suffices. File ranking trails trained retrievers by roughly seven points on the depth-aligned metric. Both are documented rather than papered over.